The indicators collectively are becoming more negative, but they are not signalling that a recession is imminent. Read more ...
Forget the Fed. Forget nonfarm employment. Forget even industrial production and real income. For Jim Paulsen, the real recession indicator is watching Walmart. Paulsen, former chief investment ...
Real personal income, excluding transfer receipts, increased by 0.23% in August. Real personal income year-over-year is at or below the start level of all nine recessions since 1959. Real personal ...
Trying to predict recessions is one of the most popular pastimes in the financial markets. There's a running joke that says certain people have predicted nine of the past five recessions. Fear tends ...
The U.S. economy is strong, but a valuation problem looms over the stock market.
One of America's biggest retailers is flashing a big recession indicator. A market indicator known as the Walmart Recession Signal (WRS) has surged to levels last seen during the 2008 Financial Crisis ...
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While the consumer discretionary sector has been the fourth-worst performer among the S&P 500’s 11 sectors this year, eBay has bucked that trend. The stock is up around 20% in 2026, easily ...
“Maybe we’re cooked,” remarked one Instagram influencer.
But the yield curve being the ‘right-way up’ doesn’t mean a recession won’t occur. Just as an inverted yield curve shouldn’t ...
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