Seeking Alpha article used statistical approach to estimate S&P 500 P/E market multiple based on macroeconomic variables. Treasury yield and federal spending to GDP ratio are significant variables ...

Some recent research has suggested that macroeconomic variables, such as output and inflation, can improve interest rate forecasts. However, the evidence for this puzzling result is based on ...

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This session aimed to gain insight into the macroeconomic models and inputs used at the decision-making level. In his talk, Robert Arnold, Congressional Budget Office (CBO), echoed Stock by stressing ...